- EL NINO: El Niño is the warming phase of the waters in the eastern Pacific, off the coast of South America.
- LA NINA: Then, La Niña is the cooling phase.
Both phenomena disrupt weather and temperature around the globe. For example, they unpredictably create:
- Heat waves
El Niño and La Niña peak around Christmas time and can last 9 months or longer. Then, it repeats again every 3-5 years or so. But how does El Niño work? And what causes El Niño? Let’s examine the El Niño phenomenon.
El Niño takes place in the Pacific Ocean near the equator. In normal conditions, Trade Winds blow from east to west. These winds push warm water like a conveyor belt to the coast of Asia and Australia. Then, warm water pools in the west of the Pacific Ocean. This causes the thermocline (top-to-bottom ocean temperature gradient) to deepen.
But along the coast of the Americas, cold water from deeper down in the ocean replaces the warm surface water that is transported to the west. This process of deep, cold water rising to the surface is called “upwelling”. So in normal conditions, there’s a big temperature difference from east to west in the Pacific Ocean.
In the west part of the Pacific Ocean, the warmer water adds extra heat to the air. Then, this causes the air to rise generating clouds and rainfall in a self-feeding cycle. First, we have warm moist air rising in the west. Secondly, dry cool air descends on the eastern side of the Pacific Ocean. This type of atmospheric circulation continues until El Niño begins.
Every 3-5 years, El Niño is triggered by a weakening of west-blowing Trade Winds. As winds weaken, it results in less warm water to the west. Consequently, there is also less cold upwelling water off the coast of the Americas.
So, there’s less push of warm surface water to the west. On top of that, there’s less upwelling in the eastern side. As a result, warm water piles up centrally in the Pacific Ocean disrupting the normal temperature balance between the eastern and western Pacific.
After El Niño reverses back to normal conditions, it can dip into its counterpart La Niña. La Niña is basically El Niño in reverse.
Instead of a weakening of Trade Winds, La Niña experiences a strengthening in equatorial air circulation. La Niña pushes warm water even further west. Then, it increases the upwelling of colder water in the east Pacific decreasing temperatures there.
How Does El Niño Affect Weather?
As part of the big picture, El Niño releases vast amounts of energy pushing up global temperatures. This is why El Niño years are often the warmest on record.
The main weather impacts from El Niño occur in the tropics. For example, here are some of the effects worldwide:
- FLOODING: Peru often experiences flooding.
- DROUGHT: India, Indonesia and Brazil have drought conditions.
But El Niño can drive heat waves, floods and droughts outside the tropics too. It can affect virtually everywhere in the world directly. If not through weather, it will at least have socioeconomic impacts.
Why Does El Niño Occur?
It’s still not fully understand what triggers the irregular El Niño conditions. But scientists believe there are several co-dependent factors that drive El Niño. For example, this includes the strength of Trade Winds and push-pull of water movement.
The Coriolis Effect ultimately drives the overall flow of Trade Winds. But it’s the variations in concentrations of warm water that get moved by the Trade Winds.
It’s these non-static ocean and atmosphere conditions that make predicting the occurrence of El Niño difficult.